Thanks to Jason Shafrin for pointing to USC's recent 3-hour symposium on Coverage with Evidence Development. Find the home page here, with links to a YouTube video of the whole summit:
The program was co-supported by the Tufts Center for Evaluation of Value and Risk in Health and the Stanford Mussallem Center for Biodesign
Here's the program summary online:
Medicare is considering changes to an important program meant to provide beneficiaries with access to newly approved drugs and devices while collecting data on how they work in the real world. The nearly 20-year-old program, known as Coverage with Evidence Development (CED), has recently faced questions about whether it’s working as intended.
The USC Schaeffer Center, in partnership with the Tufts Center for Evaluation of Value and Risk in Health and the Stanford Mussallem Center for Biodesign, hosted a conversation on the future of CED at USC’s Capital Campus in Washington, D.C. Attendees heard from the Centers for Medicare and Medicaid Services (CMS) official overseeing updated guidance, learned about the latest research and shared ideas on how CED could be improved.
Below, I include a news article generated by Chat GPT from an autotranscript. I also include, further below, a similar news article generated by (free) Google Notebook LM.
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Note. The first Chat GPT draft was concise with a couple quotes. I asked for a longer, more detailed version. I also asked for quote from Dr Makower, since Stanford was a co-sponsor. It made a better, longer article, and, surprised me with insertion of 4 Makower quotes (!). I've left the text as generated.
CHAT GPT 4o:
Improving Medicare’s Coverage with Evidence Development (CED):
A Policy at the Crossroads
The recent symposium at USC's Schaeffer Center, held on October 22, 2024, brought together experts from government agencies, academia, and industry to address the challenges and opportunities surrounding Medicare’s Coverage with Evidence Development (CED) policy. The event illuminated the evolving role of CED in bridging the gap between emerging medical technologies and the evidence needed to justify their coverage under Medicare.
The Legacy of CED: A Policy Born Out of Necessity
CED has been a tool in Medicare’s arsenal for over 20 years, designed to provide conditional coverage for innovative technologies while collecting additional data to confirm their effectiveness. As Tamara Syrek Jensen, Director of the Coverage and Analysis Group at CMS, explained during the event, CED allows Medicare to avoid saying "no" when the evidence supporting a technology is incomplete, but its potential clinical benefit is promising. It provides a pathway for patients to access new therapies while data collection continues, reducing the risk that a potentially life-saving or life-enhancing treatment is denied coverage prematurely.
However, Jensen also acknowledged that CED has not always worked smoothly. The process, while valuable, often encounters delays, and there are persistent challenges in aligning evidence development timelines with regulatory and reimbursement requirements.
Challenges in CED Implementation
One of the key challenges discussed was the complexity of coordinating parallel review processes between the FDA and CMS. FDA approval is based on safety and efficacy, while CMS coverage decisions hinge on whether a technology is "reasonable and necessary" for the Medicare population. This statutory difference in focus creates inherent friction in how quickly technologies can move from approval to coverage.
Jensen highlighted that the small size of CMS's Coverage and Analysis Group, which includes only about 38 staff members, is a bottleneck for processing National Coverage Determinations (NCDs) and managing CED programs. In addition, while CED allows for coverage during the evidence development phase, the burden of generating high-quality evidence—without the resources for randomized controlled trials (RCTs) in every case—poses a significant obstacle for sponsors.
The Role of Sub-Populations and Representation in Evidence Development
A pivotal issue raised at the symposium was the need for better representation of Medicare beneficiaries in clinical studies. Medicare patients tend to be older and have multiple comorbidities, which distinguishes them from the general population often used in FDA trials. Jensen stressed the importance of ensuring that studies reflect the diversity of the Medicare population, not just in terms of age and health conditions but also race and gender. This represents a shift towards requiring more robust, real-world evidence that can capture the outcomes relevant to the complex, multimorbid Medicare population.
The Push for Transitional Coverage of Emerging Technologies (T-CET)
In response to these challenges, CMS is piloting a new initiative known as Transitional Coverage of Emerging Technologies (T-CET). T-CET aims to engage with manufacturers earlier in the development process, ideally a year before FDA approval, to align evidence generation requirements and facilitate faster coverage decisions. The goal, as Jensen described, is to avoid unnecessary delays by ensuring that the evidence needed for CMS decisions is already being collected during the FDA trial phase, potentially bypassing the need for CED altogether in some cases.
Balancing Speed with Quality
While the aspirations behind CED and T-CET are clear, the execution remains a balancing act. There is a desire to move faster—both in terms of approving coverage for promising technologies and in expediting the evidence collection process. But as Jensen pointed out, the statutory requirements around public comment periods and the need for thorough data review create a natural tension between speed and thoroughness.
The introduction of T-CET marks an attempt to address some of these concerns, especially the resource constraints at CMS. By encouraging early collaboration between CMS, FDA, and manufacturers, the hope is that evidence generation can be better streamlined, reducing the time to market for innovative therapies.
Looking Forward: A Call for Greater Resources and Streamlined Processes
Despite the clear benefits that CED offers—particularly in avoiding outright denials for new technologies—the backlog of NCDs waiting for review and the limited resources available for processing them pose significant barriers. Jensen was candid about the need for more resources, not only to clear this backlog but to proactively engage in CED and T-CET initiatives. The wish list, according to Jensen, includes expanding CMS's capacity to handle both the increasing volume of NCD requests and the burgeoning complexity of evidence requirements.
The event underscored that while CED remains a critical tool in ensuring Medicare patients have access to cutting-edge treatments, it is a policy in need of refinement. Greater efficiency in evidence development, more robust representation of Medicare populations in trials, and early engagement through programs like T-SET are seen as essential to the future of Medicare coverage policy.
As the healthcare landscape evolves with new technologies and treatments, so too must the policies that govern their coverage. CED has helped to navigate the uncertainty surrounding new technologies, but it will require continued innovation and support from policymakers to fully realize its potential.
The challenge moving forward will be to maintain the integrity of Medicare’s coverage determinations while accelerating access to new therapies—striking the right balance between speed and evidence quality.
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Google Notebook LM